Pakistan’s economy stuck in 'low-growth trap': World Bank

WB official urges Pakistan to decide “whether to maintain patterns of past or take difficult” decisions

By
Business Desk
World Bank’s Regional Vice President for South Asia addressing ceremony in Islamabad on November 28, 2023. — X/@MartinRaiser
World Bank’s Regional Vice President for South Asia addressing ceremony in Islamabad on November 28, 2023. — X/@MartinRaiser

  • Martin Raiser launches series of policy notes on Pakistan's economy.
  • Keynotes focused on child stunting, private and energy sectors.
  • "Almost 40% of children in Pakistan suffer from stunted growth."


Martin Raiser, the World Bank’s Regional Vice-President for South Asia, has said that Pakistan’s economy is stuck in a low-growth trap with poor human development outcomes and increasing poverty.

Raiser, who is in Pakistan to reaffirm the WB’s commitment to support the people of Pakistan, said he launched a series of policy notes that outline critical policy shifts required for a productive, sustainable, resilient, and healthy Pakistan, according to an official statement issued on Tuesday.

The policy notes — focusing on child stunting fiscal sustainability, private sector growth, energy, learning poverty, agriculture, and climate change — are the culmination of several months of outreach and engagements conducted across the country under the “Reforms for a Brighter Future — Time to Decide” banner.

They are intended to help inform the public policy dialogue in the context of the upcoming elections.

“Pakistan’s economy is stuck in a low-growth trap with poor human development outcomes and increasing poverty. Economic conditions leave Pakistan highly vulnerable to climate shocks, with insufficient public resources to finance development and climate adaptation,” said the WB official.

“It is now time for Pakistan to decide whether to maintain the patterns of the past or take difficult but crucial steps towards a brighter future.”

The policy notes urged Pakistan to address its acute human capital crisis — including the high prevalence of stunting and learning poverty — by adopting a coordinated and coherent cross-sectoral approach to basic services involving both provincial and federal governments.

Improve the quality of public spending and take serious measures to expand the revenue base, ensuring that the better off pay their share, they added.

The recommendations also asked Pakistan to pursue business regulatory and trade reforms and reduce the presence of the state in the economy to increase productivity, competitiveness, and exports.

Moreover, the notes called for removing distortions that undermine the performance of the agricultural and energy sectors, including through subsidy reform and privatisation of electricity distribution companies.

“Almost 40% of children in Pakistan suffer from stunted growth, more than 78% of Pakistan’s children cannot read and understand a simple text by the age of 10. These are stark indicators of a silent human capital crisis that needs priority attention,” the WB statement quoted Raiser as saying.

He said additional spending on water and sanitation of around 1% of GDP per year and better coordination at the local level, stunting could be halved over a decade with significant positive impacts on growth and incomes.

“This is just one example of the huge economic benefits a coherent and decisive reform strategy could have.”

During his visit, the global lender official will meet Pakistan officials at the federal and provincial levels, and representatives from the private sector and academia.

He will also visit the Dasu and Tarbela hydropower projects, as well as project sites in Sindh and Punjab.